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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 8th, 2016–Mar 9th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Use caution when transitioning to wind effected terrain.  Watch for sudden intense warming from the sun which will increase avalanche hazard

Weather Forecast

A weak Pacific system will reaching Rogers Pass this evening bringing a mostly cloudy day with sunny periods this afternoon and potential for isolated convective flurries. Cooler temperatures with afternoon freezing level to 1400m. West winds 15-25kph are forecast today, with an alpine high of -4 and no significant precip.

Snowpack Summary

Windslabs have formed in the alpine from moderate S winds Friday/Saturday. The surface snow became moist yesterday to 1700m but was still supportive to a riders weight. The Feb 27 interface is now down 60cm which consists of crusts on solar aspects and surface hoar/stellars on shaded aspects. This layer was active during Sunday's avalanche control

Avalanche Summary

Highway avalanche control on Sunday produced avalanches up to sz 3.5 but most were in the size 2-2.5 range. One notable from the shoot was a 300+ m propagation on the East face of Mt Cheops. Yesterday a survey of the Connaught valley showed numerous sz 2's had run into the creek from Cheops Pk.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.