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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 2nd, 2018–Dec 3rd, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast Inland.

We're on a positive track with last week's avalanche problems mostly stabilized, but you can likely still find trouble spots of wind slab and cornice in the alpine.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Sunday night: Cloudy with clear periods. Light north winds.Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. Light northeast winds, increasing over the day. Alpine high temperatures around -10.Tuesday: Mainly sunny with some valley cloud. Light northwest winds. Alpine high temperatures rising to around -2 under a mild temperature inversion.Wednesday: Sunny. Light northeast winds. Alpine high temperatures to around -3 under a mild temperature inversion.

Avalanche Summary

Two recent very large (size 3) avalanches were observed in the Joffre Lakes area on Saturday. These released from the high alpine northeast and northwest faces of Mt. Joffre and Mt. Matier, respectively. The evidence of the Mt. Matier slide features several 'step downs' as the slide progressively triggered deeper layers of the snowpack, all the way down to previous summer snow cover. Both slides likely released during last week's storm.Please submit any observations you have to the Mountain Information Network here.

Snowpack Summary

The storm from early last week produced ample precipitation, however it mostly fell as rain. Extreme out of the south and southwest likely produced widespread cornices and wind slabs in lee terrain during the storm. These problems are expected to be on a positive track toward stabilizing.A MIN from Friday suggests that it's skiable from about 1600 metres on up. Between 1600 and 2000 m there is 5 to 10 cm of low density snow over a 5 cm breakable crust. Above 2000m is reportedly skiing well and alpine snowpack depths are approaching 175 cm. Near the ground there is a crust/facet interface. Although little is known about the reactivity of this layer, recent observations in the north of the region show that it was reactive during last week's storm. It is thought that there is insufficient snow for avalanches below 1500 m.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.