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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 25th, 2014–Dec 26th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast.

A special avalanche warning has been issued that includes the South Coast Inland.  A buried surface hoar layer in the south of the region remains reactive and may persist for longer than usual. For further details see: http://goo.gl/JDfMjZ

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure should keep the South Coast dry and mostly sunny on Friday. Freezing levels are expected to reach around 800m with light NW winds in the alpine. The next storm system is expected to reach the South Coast on Friday night. 5-10mm of precipitation are expected on Saturday with freezing levels reaching around 600m and light-to-moderate NW winds in the alpine. Sunday should be a mix of sun and cloud with freezing levels around 500m.

Avalanche Summary

We haven't received any reports in a few days.  If you are out in the mountains, please consider sending us your observations or posting on our website. On Monday we received a report of storm slabs up to size 2.5 being remote-triggering from flat areas up to 75m away in the Coquihalla area between 1600 and 1900m elevation. Slabs were 40-70cm thick and were releasing on the surface hoar layer. Natural activity is not expected on Friday but human triggering remains possible.

Snowpack Summary

A persistent slab sits above the touchy mid-December surface hoar layer. In the north of the region the slab is around 30-40cm thick and in the south it is 50-80cm. The surface hoar appears to be quite reactive at treeline and possibly into the lower parts to the alpine, especially where it was sheltered from wind. Reports suggest that it is most reactive in the Coquihalla and Allison Pass areas. About 10cm below the surface hoar layer is a thick rain crust the extends to around ridgetop elevation. Strong SW winds have created wind slabs in exposed alpine terrain which may still be a concern.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.