Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Saturday
The weather pattern looks more typically winter than we've seen in some time. Right now the weather models are in agreement that the region should receive 1 to 5 cm of convective snowfall Saturday with another 1 to 5 cm Saturday night. There is a bit of a lull Sunday and Monday before another shot of precipitation looks to make landfall on Tuesday.FRIDAY NIGHT: Freezing level around 1000 m, light west/northwest wind, trace of snow possible. SATURDAY: Overcast, freezing level around 1200 m, light to moderate south/southwest wind, 1 to 5 cm of snow.SUNDAY: Broken cloud cover, freezing level around 1300 m, light west wind, trace of snow possible. MONDAY: Scattered cloud cover, freezing level rising to around 1400 m, light variable wind, trace of snow possible.
On Thursday small loose wet avalanches were reported from steep terrain. If you're out we'd love it if you would submit what you're seeing to the Mountain Information Network.
Up to 20 cm of storm snow from last weekend now rests on a weak layer buried April 4th which consists of a 4 cm crust, surface hoar and facets. The recent snow has transitioned into a hard surface on most aspects and elevations with the exception of high alpine North aspects. Light to moderate wind generally out of the south over the last week may have formed wind slabs that may be sensitive to human triggering especially where it sits above the April 4th interface.Below treeline the snowpack is isothermal
throughout much of the forecast region.