Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 7th, 2016 8:20AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jlammers, Avalanche Canada

Outflow winds may have developed new wind slabs at all elevations. New wind slabs may be sitting on a weak layer of surface hoar or sun crust that can act as an easy sliding layer.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

On Friday the region will see mainly sunny skies and light ridgetop winds, although areas closer to the coast may see strong outflow winds. Saturday will bring mainly overcast skies, up to 5cm of new snow and strong southwest winds as a Pacific front brushes up along the North Coast. On Sunday, expect a mix of sun and cloud and reduced winds. Freezing levels are expect to remain at valley bottom for all 3 days.

Avalanche Summary

Some recent natural wind slab activity to size 2.0 was reported from the north of the region near the coast where the outflow winds were reported to be strong. There have been no reports of avalanches from the ski operations in the south or from MIN reports.

Snowpack Summary

Snowpack surfaces are highly variable. A melt-freeze crust can be found at or near the surface on steep, solar aspects in the alpine. On most other slopes, 25-40 cm of snow from the Boxing Day storm continues to settle and facet, and new surface hoar has been reported although its distribution is likely variable due to strong outflow winds. In areas where recent winds have been light, shaded slopes will likely provide settled powder. In areas where winds have been stronger, reactive wind slabs may exist, especially in areas where the the slab overlies surface hoar buried by the Boxing Day storm. Professionals in the region are still tracking a few other surface hoar layers that developed throughout December which are now buried in the top 100cm. These layers have likely gained significant strength, and represent a low probability / higher consequence scenario at treeline and below treeline elevations. In colder and shallower snowpack areas watch for weak basal facets.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Strong outflow winds continue to build wind slabs. Outflow winds have been strongest in areas near the coast and adjacent to large low level valleys.
Avoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.>Carefully evaluate big terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Jan 8th, 2016 2:00PM