Up to 60 cm of snow has accumulated above a widespread crust. Strong southerly winds have likely formed fresh slabs in high elevation north facing features. Human triggering is most likely in the immediate lee of ridgecrest.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features, especially near ridge crests, roll-overs and in steep terrain.Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.
Aspects: All aspects.
LikelihoodLikely - Possible
Expected Size1 - 2
Periods of sunshine may initiate a loose wet avalanche cycle in the new snow. The likelihood of loose avalanches increases as temperatures warm through the day and/or if the sun comes out for a period of time.
A moist/wet snow surface, pinwheeling and natural avalanches all indicate a weakening snowpack.Loose avalanches may start small but they can grow and push you into dangerous terrain traps.
Aspects: South East, South, South West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.