Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 21st, 2016 9:39AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada esharp, Avalanche Canada

Watch for moderate winds to form fresh pockets of wind slab through the day.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Weather Forecast

MONDAY: Flurries overnight with about 5cm expected before becoming cloudy with sunny breaks through the day, light to moderate westerly winds, freezing level 1000m. TUESDAY: mainly sunny, light to moderate southerly winds, freezing level 1200m. WEDNESDAY: partly cloudy, light southerly winds, freezing level 1500m

Avalanche Summary

A couple of new natural and skier triggered storm and wind slab avalanches were reported on Saturday.

Snowpack Summary

The recent storm snow continues to settle and gain strength. A thin crust may cap moist snow lower at elevations and on slopes that see direct sun.  Recent winds have formed wind pressed surfaces in exposed terrain and loaded lee features.  40-95cm of snow now sits above a melt freeze crust buried on February 12th.  This crust extends up to about 2000. In some places a thin layer of facets below this crust is failing under moderate loads in snow pit tests. A layer of surface hoar buried late in January can be found about a meter down and remains a concern for commercial operations. This layer seems the most reactive in the north of the region but may still be a concern in the south as well. Shallow snowpack areas in the east and north of the region may also have a weak base of facetted snow on or just above the ground.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Reactive slabs can be found in steep unsupported terrain and freshly wind loaded alpine features.
Stay off recent wind loaded areas until the slope has had a chance to stabilize. >Be alert to conditions that change with elevation. >

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Buried weak layers remain a concern. Large avalanche can be triggered from thin spots or by heavy loads such as cornice releases. Smaller avalanches in motion have the potential to step down to these layers.
Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a big line. >Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar. >

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

3 - 6

Valid until: Feb 22nd, 2016 2:00PM