Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 31st, 2012 9:24AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada ccampbell, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Due to limited field observations for the entire period

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Flurries are expected in the morning increasing to heavy precipitation and strong southwestely in the evening. Freezing levels are expected to remain around 1200m. Thursday: Heavy precipitation with 50mm expected throughout the day. Extreme southerly winds and freezing levels as high as 1400m. Friday: Precipitation and wind should ease off with a clearing and cooling trend throughout the day.

Avalanche Summary

Warm temperatures and light to moderate precipitation resulted in several low-elevation natural storm slab avalanches up to Size 1.5 on Monday. Storm slabs continue to be reactive to natural and human triggers.

Snowpack Summary

Total snowpack depths are well above average for this time of year and it won't stop snowing! Recent warm temperatures and upside-down storms created a touchy surface slab. Other weaknesses within and under the 150+cm of recent storm snow create the potential for step-down avalanches, but things seem to be settling rapidly. Strong winds associated with recent storms means large weak wind slabs and cornices on lee and cross-loaded terrain. Most snowpack concerns are limited to the surface layers, however large triggers such as cornice falls and smaller avalanche stepping-down could reawaken deeper persistent weaknesses.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Widespread due to strong, shifting winds and large amounts of snow available for transport, but are generally lurking below ridgecrests, behind terrain features and in cross-loaded gullies. They can fail as very large, destructive avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 6

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Large storm slab avalanches have been occurring for the past week and are expected to remain sensitive to triggers for the forecast period.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 5

Valid until: Feb 1st, 2012 3:00AM