Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 1st, 2015 8:26AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada triley, Avalanche Canada

Avalanche danger is increasing with the on-going storm. Expect danger to be HIGH by Thursday or earlier if you get more snow than forecast in your area.

Summary

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

Moderate precipitation is expected to continue overnight. Coastal ranges in the west of the region may see 20-40 mm of water equivalent in the 24 hours preceding Wednesday morning. The areas that see the most precipitation are also expected to have the warmest temperatures; coastal freezing levels may reach 1500 metres. Expect a bit of a lull between low pressures systems on Wednesday, with the next system hitting the north coast on Wednesday night. Thursday should be wet and windy as the storm pushes into the region from the south. Friday should bring another gap between systems.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported. I suspect that new storm slabs are developing and may be easily triggered by light additional loads.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is highly variable across different aspects and elevations. So far, we only have limited information from the field. Initial reports suggest that there is around 150 cm at 2000 m. Recent winds have scoured exposed slopes, and left variable wind slabs and crusts. In some places, a crust/facet interface or surface hoar can be found in the upper snowpack. At high elevations, a crust which formed early season may exist near the base of the snowpack. The new storm snow may not bond well to the mix of old surfaces left behind after the recent high pressure. Buried surface hoar may be found below the new storm snow at lower elevations, or in areas where the recent temperature inversion was not strong enough to melt it.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
The on-going storm is developing new storm slabs that may not bond well to the old surface of crusts, facets, and surface hoar.
Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind.>Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Stay well to the windward side of corniced ridges.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Valid until: Dec 2nd, 2015 2:00PM

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