Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 21st, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Loose Dry.

Avalanche Canada Parks Canada, Avalanche Canada

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We’re on the brink of the first significant storm in a while. The avalanche hazard is expected to rise throughout the weekend, with the peak intensity expected on Sunday.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A fatal avalanche that occurred south of Golden on Monday. A small windslab on a north aspect at 2300 m carried one person a long way (1000 m) down a steep, confined gully with many terrain obstacles.

No new avalanches were reported or observed in the Little Yoho region region Friday.

We are anticipating a wide spread avalanche cycle starting Saturday night with the incoming storm.

Snowpack Summary

Previous wide spread wind effect, surface faceting, isolated sun crust and spotty surface hoar growth up to 7mm has been observed on the snow surface. Beneath that, about 25cm of settled snow sits over the Jan 30 weak layer, with ageing wind slabs lingering in isolated areas. Specific wind-exposed terrain may also feature sastrugi. The mid and lower snowpack remains well-settled, with tree-line snow depths ranging from 120cm to 180cm.

Weather Summary

A Pacific frontal system is expected to reach the forecast region on Saturday. Snow accumulation is forecasted to range from 15 to 40 cm, depending on the weather model. The storm will peak in intensity on Sunday night. In addition to snow, freezing levels will rise to 2000m, with wind speeds at ridge crests reaching up to 100 km/h.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Loose avalanches may start small, but they can grow and push you into dangerous terrain.
  • Rocks will heat up with daytime warming and may become trigger points for loose wet avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

A combination of older stubborn wind slabs and newly forming slabs is overlaying a heavily faceted snowpack. As new snow accumulates and strong to extreme winds continue through the day, we expect this issue to become more reactive.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

Wind speeds are expected to exceed 100 km/h on Saturday. We anticipate this will trigger the heavily faceted snowpack, leading to loose dry avalanche activity in steep terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Feb 22nd, 2025 4:00PM

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