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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 12th, 2023–Feb 13th, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Avoid wind loaded terrain near ridge crests where reactive wind slabs are most likely to be found. Wind slabs over a crust will likely be more reactive.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

We continue to recieve reports of rider triggered wind slabs. Some of which are failing on the underlying crust. Check out this MIN for some good details on the wind slab problem.

As we track a persistent layer deeper in the snowpack, the most recent reports are now over a week old when a couple of large (size 2-3) persistent slab, human-triggered and natural avalanches occurred near ridgetops in north-to-northeast alpine terrain. These avalanches showed an impressive capability to propagate across large distances. Here is a link to the most recent human-triggered size 3 avalanche.

If you are out in the backcountry please share your observations with the Mountain Information Network!

Snowpack Summary

Ongoing southerly winds have redistributed up to 60cm of recent storm snow into wind slabs on northerly aspects and pressed or scoured southerly aspects. Soft snow can still be found in sheltered terrain. The above mentioned storm snow sits over a crust that extends up to 1700m.

Our field team continues to track a persistent layer of surface hoar and/or facets 50-100 cm deep, found on north and east aspects in the alpine and upper treeline. This layer has not produced any recent avalanches in the region and producing more stubborn results or non-results in snowpack tests recently.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Cloudy with a Few centimeters of new snow expected. Light southwest winds and a low of -8 at 1500m.Monday

Monday

Mostly cloudy with up to 5cm of new snow expected. Light southwest winds and temperatures at 1500m falling to -10.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy with flurries bringing a few centimeters of new snow. Moderate southwest winds and a high of -11 at 1500m.

Wednesday

Cloudy with up to 10cm of new snow expected. Moderate southwest winds and a high of -5 at 1500m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the crust.
  • Carefully assess open slopes and convex rolls where buried surface hoar may be preserved.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Ongoing south and southwest winds have been building up the wind slab problem on north and east aspects. These slabs could remain reactive longer than usual due to a underlying crust.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2