Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 8th, 2021–Jan 9th, 2021
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: South Coast.

 A brief clearing on Saturday before we start to see some more precipitation on Sunday and Monday. Wind slabs at uppermost elevations are the main concern. 

Confidence

High - Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.

Weather Forecast

Friday Night: Mainly cloudy with flurries, light west wind, treeline high temperature -1 C freezing level 800 m.

Saturday: Cloudy with sunny breaks, moderate southwest wind, treeline high temperature 3, freezing level 1300 m.

Sunday: Flurries or rain showers, moderate southwest wind, treeline high temperature near 2 C, freezing level 1100 m.

Monday: Snow or rain, moderate to strong southwest wind, treeline high temperature 4 C, freezing level 1600 m.

Avalanche Summary

There have been no reports of avalanche activity on Thursday and Friday.

On Wednesday there were reports of a few explosives controlled size 1-1.5 storm slab avalanches at 1200 m on a west aspect. As well, there were several MIN reports outlining easily triggered storm slabs at treeline during Tuesday afternoon's storm. Check out the MIN reports here and here. 

Snowpack Summary

Snow at uppermost elevations from earlier this week has likely been wind affected. Recent snow may contain and/or sit on a crust. Below the 1300 m elevation band the snow surface is likely moist, wet or refrozen as a surface crust. 

The remainder of the snowpack is well-settled.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be careful as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where even small avalanches may have severe consequences.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent strong southerly wind has likely created windslabs slabs at uppermost elevations in lee terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2