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Avalanche Forecast

Nov 25th, 2022–Nov 26th, 2022
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Kispiox.

Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended. Big snow and strong winds, all this on an early season weak snowpack.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche observations have been observed or reported in this region.

With expected new snow and wind, I suspect that both natural and human-trigger avalanches will be widespread and certain.

Snowpack Summary

Over the past 72 hr period, a warm storm front has brought over 50- 70 cm to the region. This snow has been highly wind affected and is likely to have stripped exposed windward alpine features, creating wind slabs in depths exceeding 100cm. The new snow has buried widespread wind affected surfaces that are likely topped by some combination of weak, faceted grains or surface hoar from the dry spell that accompanied the past arctic outbreak. Below this storm interface, the remainder of the snowpack is generally thin and weak as a result of the same cold temperatures and snowpack faceting.

Total snowpack depths in the region are around 100-120 cm but are highly variable in the heavily wind-affected alpine.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 1 cm to 5 cm, 80 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -5 C, freezing level descending to 600 m.

Saturday

Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 25 cm to 35 cm, 100 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -4 C, freezing level 600 m.

Sunday

Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 1 cm to 5 cm, 50 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -8 C, freezing level at sea level.

Monday

Cloudy with trace amounts of snow accumulation 1 cm to 10 cm. 30 km/h northwest wind, alpine temperature -10 C, freezing level at sea level.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Only the most simple non-avalanche terrain free of overhead hazard is appropriate at this time.
  • Avoid areas with overhead hazard.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Strong to extreme winds and up to 70 cm of new snow in the past 72 hrs have formed both storm and wind slabs that will be easily human-triggered.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3

Cornices

Expect to encounter newly formed and weak cornices.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5