Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Mt Hood.
You are likely to trigger a storm slab where recent moderate winds have stiffened snow surfaces or where settlement and sunshine consolidate the thick storm snow layer into a slab. The slab sits on heavily faceted old snow which will increase slab propagation to produce large avalanches.
Discussion
Snow and Avalanche Discussion
9-14â of storm snow fell at low density from mid-day Friday through the end of the day Saturday. The storm snow buried surface hoar or near surface facets near and below treeline or a crust BTL and on sun-affected aspects. Areas that head weak underlying snow are more likely to produce avalanches Sunday. Â Loose dry avalanches will continue to be a concern in very steep terrain that isn't wind affected. Keep this in mind around terrain traps; you don't want a small but fast moving avalanche to take you on an unexpecting ride into trees or over a cliff. Â Â
Snowpack Discussion
Regional Synopsis coming soon.Â
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Plenty of new snow sits in the terrain and will be most likely to trigger where it has formed a slab. Large and dangerous slabs are likely to form where (1) recent moderate winds which transported low density snow into a soft slab or where (2) settlement or the sun consolidates snow into a slab. The consolidation in many cases may occur during the day on Sunday, leading to increasingly reactive conditions as the day wears on. Travel in less wind-affected terrain, using visual clues such as recent soft cornices and textured snow surfaces to identify these problematic areas. Use small test slopes to gauge the storm slab problem. If you experience sudden settlement of the upper snowpack or cracking of the snow surface, you have a dangerous slab problem in your area. If you’re unsure whether this problem exists, it is best to choose supported terrain less than 35 degrees.
Release of a soft cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within the storm snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slab problems typically last between a few hours and few days. Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
You can reduce your risk from Storm Slabs by waiting a day or two after a storm before venturing into steep terrain. Storm slabs are most dangerous on slopes with terrain traps, such as timber, gullies, over cliffs, or terrain features that make it difficult for a rider to escape off the side.
Storm slabs usually stabilize within a few days, and release at or below the trigger point. They exist throughout the terrain, and can be avoided by waiting for the storm snow to stabilize.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 1