Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 1st, 2020 8:00AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Parks Canada chris gooliaff, Parks Canada

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If there is a rise in wind and/or temperature today, danger ratings will bump up rapidly. Be observant of any changes in the weather!!

Summary

Weather Forecast

Today, flurries will continue dropping another 5-10cm. Two things to watch for are rising temps and increasing winds. Freezing levels may rise to 1500m, while W'ly winds will increase to mod/strong. Thurs brings cold temps, flurries, and mod W winds. Another storm rolls in Fri/Sat, bringing 25-30cm and strong SW winds.

Snowpack Summary

40-50cm of snow now sits on the Dec 27th surface hoar. Previous Mod to Strong S-SW winds redistributed the new snow on lee features in the Alpine and exposed areas of Tree Line. The mid and lower snowpack has been settling and gaining strength; however, the Dec 11th surface hoar (5-12mm) still persists down 100-140cm.

Avalanche Summary

Several natural avalanches to sz 2 were observed from the highway yesterday, all occurring on steep, N-facing terrain.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

As the new snow forms a cohesive slab on top of the Dec 27th surface hoar, expect to see reactive slabs pulling back onto lower angled terrain. 

  • Use conservative route selection, stick to supported terrain features, avoid overhead hazards.
  • Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The surface hoar layer down a meter is still preserved in some areas and human triggering remains possible. Due to the depth of this layer, the resulting avalanche would be large.

  • Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Valid until: Jan 2nd, 2020 8:00AM