Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 20th, 2016 8:15AM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs and Loose Dry.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeDeep storm snow with strong winds and a weak old snow surface has elevated avalanche hazard! Limit your exposure to avalanche terrain.
Summary
Weather Forecast
The next pulse of the storm will bring an additional 10 cm of snow today. The alpine high should reach -8 deg with winds from the Southwest 25 gusting to 80 kph. Wednesday should bring a break from the snowfall then another 10cm is expected Thursday.
Snowpack Summary
50cm+ of storm snow in the last 48hrs and winds to 85kph have built storm slab and windslabs at all elevations. This new significant snow load sits on a facetted, weak snowpack. We're calling this new snow interface the Dec 18th layer which is a mix of surface hoar and facets. As the new snow settles into a slab the Dec 18th will become reactive
Avalanche Summary
Yesterday we observed a widespread natural avalanche cycle to size 3.0. These were both slabs and loose avalanches reaching well into the runouts. Whumphing and shooting cracks from ski tips were also observed by groups that were out skiing. With continued snowfall the slab will remain touchy &natural avalanche activity will continue today.
Confidence
Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain
Problems
Storm Slabs
50cm of storm snow with strong gusting winds is sitting over a very weak old surface of facetted snow. Cracking and whumphing was observed yesterday from groups out skiing. With additional snowload and settlement the surface slab will remain touchy
Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Loose Dry
Where the new snow is unconsolidated heavy sloughing is expected. Add another 10cm of new snow today and in steep terrain these slides could entrain enough mass to be an issue for skiers and riders.
Be aware of party members below you that may be exposed to your sluffs.Use caution above cliffs where small avalanches may have severe consequences.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 21st, 2016 8:00AM