Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Purcells.
Confidence
Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain on Tuesday
Weather Forecast
MONDAY: Flurries starting in the afternoon with 5-10 cm of new snow, moderate southwest winds increasing throughout the day, alpine temperatures around -5 and increasing overnight.TUESDAY: Flurries continuing throughout the day with another 5-10 cm of new snow, moderate southwest winds, freezing level rising to around 1600 m (and warmer to the north).WEDNESDAY: Flurries with another 5-10 cm, moderate south winds, freezing level rising to around 1800 m (and warmer to the north).
Avalanche Summary
Avalanche reports from the weekend included several size 1 loose dry avalanches on solar aspects, and a few isolated size 1.5 wind slabs triggered on northeast aspects by explosive and natural triggers. Larger wind slabs (up to size 2.5) were triggered earlier in the week by explosive control.On Monday, expect wind slabs to remain reactive to human triggers on a variety of aspects.
Snowpack Summary
15 to 30 cm of recent snow has formed reactive wind slabs on a variety of aspects. These wind slabs rest on an old surface consisting of old wind slabs in exposed terrain, surface hoar in sheltered terrain, and widespread "sugary" facets. The layer of facets from mid-December is still reactive to snowpack tests in isolated areas, but is generally considered to be dormant during this period of cold, dry conditions. This may change as the air temperature begins to rise as warm air floods into the region Monday night.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2