Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 15th, 2017 4:18PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeOne more day of cool weather until rising temperatures elevate the danger.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain on Tuesday
Weather Forecast
MONDAY: Flurries starting in the afternoon with 5-10 cm of new snow, moderate southwest winds increasing throughout the day, alpine temperatures around -5 and increasing overnight.TUESDAY: Flurries continuing throughout the day with another 5-10 cm of new snow, moderate southwest winds, freezing level rising to around 1600 m (and warmer to the north).WEDNESDAY: Flurries with another 5-10 cm, moderate south winds, freezing level rising to around 1800 m (and warmer to the north).
Avalanche Summary
Avalanche reports from the weekend included several size 1 loose dry avalanches on solar aspects, and a few isolated size 1.5 wind slabs triggered on northeast aspects by explosive and natural triggers. Larger wind slabs (up to size 2.5) were triggered earlier in the week by explosive control.On Monday, expect wind slabs to remain reactive to human triggers on a variety of aspects.
Snowpack Summary
15 to 30 cm of recent snow has formed reactive wind slabs on a variety of aspects. These wind slabs rest on an old surface consisting of old wind slabs in exposed terrain, surface hoar in sheltered terrain, and widespread "sugary" facets. The layer of facets from mid-December is still reactive to snowpack tests in isolated areas, but is generally considered to be dormant during this period of cold, dry conditions. This may change as the air temperature begins to rise as warm air floods into the region Monday night.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Lingering wind slabs can be found on a variety of aspects and may become sensitive to human triggering with warming temperatures.
Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.Wind direction has changed recently. Watch for slabs on all aspects.Watch for signs of instability such as whumpfing, or cracking.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 16th, 2017 2:00PM