Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 25th, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada JSmith, Avalanche Canada

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New snow and strong southwesterly winds have created fresh storm slabs reactive to human triggers. These slabs will be especially reactive on lee features at treeline and above.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.

Weather Forecast

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with flurries; 5-10 cm / Strong, southwesterly winds / Low of -6 / Freezing level 400 m.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries; 3-5 cm. / Strong, southwesterly winds / High of -3 / Freezing level 500 m.

SATURDAY: Snow; 10-15 cm / Strong, southerly winds / High of -1 / Freezing level 700 m.

SUNDAY: Snow; 15-20 cm / Strong, southwesterly winds / High of -1 / Freezing level 1000 m.

Avalanche Summary

Large natural avalanches up to size 3 were reported on west and northwest aspects in the alpine on Wednesday. 

These recently formed storm slabs are expected to remain reactive to human triggers, especially on lee features at treeline and above.

Snowpack Summary

30-40 cm of recent snow and strong southerly winds have created fresh storm slabs reactive to human triggers at treeline and above.

A progression of intense storms over the past month has resulted in impressive snow depths, with total depths at treeline ranging from 200 to 250 cm. The snow from these storms has generally been strengthening and bonding quickly. A prominent crust from early November can be found in the lower snowpack, but does not appear to be a problem. Many areas below treeline are still below threshold depths for avalanches.

Terrain and Travel

  • Give the new snow time to settle and stabilize before pushing into bigger terrain.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded terrain features.
  • Remember that the snowpack will be significantly different at higher elevations than lower down.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Freshly formed storm slabs are expected to remain reactive to human triggers, especially on lee features at treeline and above.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Nov 26th, 2021 4:00PM