Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 11th, 2022 3:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada JMackenzie, Avalanche Canada

Wind, wind, wind!!! Expect to find wind slabs in virtually all skiable terrain, and these slabs are sensitive to human triggering.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Wednesday will be a cloudy with light flurries and warm temperatures. Snow fall amounts could total 10cm by the end of the day. Temperatures will climb to -2C with freezing levels near 2000m. Westerly winds in excess of 100km/h at mountain top will diminish slight after noon.

Avalanche Summary

No field teams were in the Spray Valley today, so observations are fairly limited. However, one size 2.5 slab avalanche was observed on an east aspect on Mt Rundle. It is possible that this slide was triggered by cornice collapse, but this is unconfirmed.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is settling with the recent warm temperatures. Unfortunately the strong to extreme westerly winds continued again on Tuesday. Expect to find wind slabs at all elevations except the most sheltered terrain below treeline. The wind slabs vary considerably in depth, but range from 30 to 100cm deep. Human triggering of these slabs is likely. Forecasters also continue to monitor the Dec crust layer buried 100 to 150cm in the snowpack. This layer is capable of producing very large avalanches if it is initiated.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
  • Watch for areas of hard wind slab on alpine features.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of a persistent slab.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wide spread wind event happening in the Kananaskis region right now. Strong snow transport at ridge top's and even gusty conditions down in the valley. Expect to find wind slabs virtually everywhere.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

 This layer is still on the radar. While not reactive to natural triggers in recent days, this layer could produce very large avalanches if triggered. 

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

2.5 - 3.5

Valid until: Jan 12th, 2022 3:00PM

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