Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Glacier.
It's forecast to get real cold for the first time this year. Bring lots of extra layers, and leave yourself a time buffer at the end of the day, in case things go wrong.
Weather Forecast
Our first cold spell will bring generally stable weather for Sunday and into next week.
Tonight: Cloudy. Alpine low -17*C. Ridge top wind light-moderate W
Sun: Flurries/sunny periods. High -17*C. Light W wind
Mon: Sunny periods. Low -19*C. High -16*C. Light W wind
Tues: Sunny periods. Low -16*C. High -11*C. Light SW wind
Snowpack Summary
Another ~5 cm of snow fell today.
At treeline and below, the Dec 1 crust is now buried by 5-20cm of snow.
In the alpine, 20-30cm of snow is being redistributed by light to mod West winds, and either lies on previous wind effect or icy bed surfaces from last weeks avalanche cycle.
The mid and lower snowpack is rounded and well bonded.
Avalanche Summary
One small avalanche was observed out of the cliffs on the North side of Cheops by a field team today.
The massive storm on Dec 01 produced widespread avalanches, both natural and artillery triggered, up to size 3.5, many reaching valley bottom. The frozen debris from these means travel in low elevation run-outs is rugged.
Confidence
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind slabs may be found in exposed areas in the alpine. These overly previous wind effect or icy bed surfaces from previous avalanche activity.
- Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where small avalanches may have severe consequences.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2.5