Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 12th, 2017 4:18PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada aaron beardmore, Avalanche Canada

Lee areas have been re-loaded by strong winds from the SW creating touchy wind-slabs. Conservative terrain choices will be important to avoid encounters with avalanches over the next few days.

Summary

Weather Forecast

The strong/extreme wind from the SW is expected to die down by Monday. A slow warming trend is currently forecast into next week with temperatures reaching close to 0C in the alpine.

Snowpack Summary

40-60 cm of new snow over the past week with extreme SW winds have created new snow slabs over various layers of weaker facets, surface hoar, and buried wind layers. In below treeline areas, this new snow load is sitting on a snowpack entirely made up of facets and depth hoar.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous natural and explosive triggered avalanches were observed and reported throughout the forecast region up to size 3 in the last 72hrs. These have been occurring on many different aspects and at all elevation bands. Most are between 40-60cm in depth, with some "stepping" down to the deeper weak layers.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations on Sunday

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Strong to extreme wind from the SW on Sunday has re-loaded lee areas with fresh wind slabs that are ripe for human triggering. Give avalanche terrain a wide berth and remember that fracture lines may extend further that you expect.

  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features.
  • If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The new snow has created a touchy slab over the weak facets at all elevations, resulting in many avalanches that could potentially run full path.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Feb 13th, 2017 4:00PM