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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 12th, 2017–Feb 13th, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Little Yoho.

Lee areas have been re-loaded by strong winds from the SW creating touchy wind-slabs. Conservative terrain choices will be important to avoid encounters with avalanches over the next few days.

Weather Forecast

The strong/extreme wind from the SW is expected to die down by Monday. A slow warming trend is currently forecast into next week with temperatures reaching close to 0C in the alpine.

Snowpack Summary

40-60 cm of new snow over the past week with extreme SW winds have created new snow slabs over various layers of weaker facets, surface hoar, and buried wind layers. In below treeline areas, this new snow load is sitting on a snowpack entirely made up of facets and depth hoar.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous natural and explosive triggered avalanches were observed and reported throughout the forecast region up to size 3 in the last 72hrs. These have been occurring on many different aspects and at all elevation bands. Most are between 40-60cm in depth, with some "stepping" down to the deeper weak layers.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations on Sunday

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Strong to extreme wind from the SW on Sunday has re-loaded lee areas with fresh wind slabs that are ripe for human triggering. Give avalanche terrain a wide berth and remember that fracture lines may extend further that you expect.

  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features.
  • If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

The new snow has created a touchy slab over the weak facets at all elevations, resulting in many avalanches that could potentially run full path.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3