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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 13th, 2024–Mar 14th, 2024
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

UPDATED ON THURSDAY AT 6:30 AM

Heavy snow will create touchy storm slabs at treeline and above.

Sheltered low-elevation terrain will likely offer the best and safest riding.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches have been reported recently, but whumpfs were noticed Sunday at treeline on a northeast slope near Fraser Peak. This failure layer is suspected to be the buried surface hoar layer that produced some isolated but surprising avalanches last week.

Expect to see increasing avalanche activity with the incoming storm on Wednesday-Thursday.

Snowpack Summary

Before the storm, up to 20 cm of snow covers old, firm, wind-affected or crusty surfaces. Deeper deposits may exist on lee slopes. Pockets of hard wind slabs, that may not bond well to the old surface, still linger in alpine terrain.In isolated areas, buried surface hoar may be found 20 to 40 cm deep. Below 1500 m, a thick melt-freeze crust is buried 50 to 100 cm deep. The mid-pack is generally strong and bridges the weak crystals at the base of the snowpack.

The average snowpack depth at treeline is around 200 cm.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Cloudy with 10 to 15 cm expected. 40 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures around -3 °C

Thursday

Cloudy with 10 to 15 cm of new snow expected. 50 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures around 0 °C.

Friday

Cloudy with 10 cm of new snow expected overnight. 30 to 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures around -3 °C.

Saturday

Partly cloudy. 30 to 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures around +5 °C. Freezing level rising to 2000 m by the end of the day.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm snow and wind is forming touchy slabs. Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind or rain.
  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Forecasted snow will likely develop reactive slabs in steep terrain, especially on wind-loaded slopes. Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the old surface.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5