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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 17th, 2024–Mar 18th, 2024
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Coquihalla, Manning, Skagit.

Continue to minimize your exposure to avalanche terrain and avoid overhead hazard until cooler weather arrives.

Avoid sun affected slopes. Wet avalanches remain likely.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Saturday. However, observations are currently limited.

Wet avalanche activity has been observed this week up to size 2.5. Avalanches were only observed in the recent storm snow and not reported to have stepped down to the buried weak layers.

Check out this MIN report from Zupjok on Thursday.

Snowpack Summary

Expect to find moist or wet snow at all elevations except the highest north facing terrain. 30-50 cm of snow from the past week is rapidly settling over a variety of layers including a thin sun crust on south aspects.

Two weak layers of surface hoar, facets and a crust exist, buried 80-120 cm deep. While these have not produced recent avalanche activity we are still concerned about the possibility of step down avalanches.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Clear skies. 20 km/h southerly ridgetop wind. Freezing level remains above 3000 m.

Monday

Sunny. 20 km/h southerly ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +7 °C with freezing levels remaining above 3000 m.

Tuesday

Sunny. 20-40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +4 °C with freezing levels falling to 2500 m over the day.

Tuesday

Cloudy with light snowfall. 40-50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing levels fall to 1500 m over the day.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain as temperatures increase.
  • Cornice failure may trigger large avalanches.
  • Keep in mind that wet avalanches can be destructive due to their high density.
  • If triggered loose wet avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Continued wet loose/slab activity is expected within the surface snow as warming continues and the snowpack has little chance to refreeze overnight. Greatest concern is for sun affected slopes especially near rock outcrops.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

We have had no reports of persistent slab activity since last weekend. Concern still exists for the possibility of natural avalanches on this layer with the warm temperatures and sunshine. If triggered, large avalanches are expected

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5