Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 3rd, 2017 8:00AM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs and Loose Dry.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeWith mid-storm conditions, the best skiing will be found in the trees. Natural avalanches could easily run full-path today, so avoid overhead hazards when traveling through the valley bottoms.
Summary
Weather Forecast
We are mid-storm at Rogers Pass. Expect 13cm of accumulation today with strong SW winds gusting to 70km/hr. Freezing levels will rise to 1400m this afternoon. Another 13cm will fall tonight before a weak and fleeting ridge of high pressure builds in on Saturday afternoon. More precipitation and decreasing temperatures are in store for next week.
Snowpack Summary
15cm fell overnight bringing the storm total to 40cm. Strong southerly winds have contributed to loading of lee features and the formation of widespread storm slabs. The Feb 14 layer, down ~70cm, is a crust everywhere but N aspects above 1600m where pockets of surface hoar may lurk.
Avalanche Summary
4 size 2 natural avalanches were observed in steep terrain facing the highway corridor east of Rogers Pass. Yesterday a field team ski cut a small size 1 avalanche on a steep roll on the Balu Pass headwall that failed down 35cm at the storm snow interface.
Confidence
Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain
Problems
Storm Slabs
Over 40cm of new snow in the past 3 days has been combined with strong southerly winds to create widespread and touchy storm slabs. Ongoing precipitation and wind activity could enable these slabs to step down and trigger deeper instabilities.
Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Loose Dry
Loose natural and skier triggered sluffs are almost certain today as snow and wind hammer Rogers Pass. The size, power and hazard posed by these slides depends directly on terrain characteristics like slope angle, terrain traps, and run out hazards.
Be cautious of sluffing in steep terrain, particularly where the debris flows into terrain traps.Plan escape routes and identify safe zones before committing to your line.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 4th, 2017 8:00AM