Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Little Yoho.
The wind has had limited affect on the surface snow over the last week. If the wind picks up, expect the likelihood of initiation of dry loose avalanches to increase and windslabs to build quickly. Keep this in consideration when making travel plans.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Some small loose dry avalanches out of steep terrain.
In an adjacent region there was evidence of a large deep avalanche off of Mount Lefroy North East face was observed on Jan 3rd that we believe to be 24-48 hours old.
Snowpack Summary
25-45 cm unconsolidated snow makes up the surface of a 120-150 cm snowpack at treeline, and 140-175cm above treeline. The mid-pack is generally strong but a weak crust/facet layer may be near the ground. The distribution of this layer is specific to shallower areas. Conditions within the Little Yoho region are much better than areas further east in BYK. With the amount of snow available for transport, expect conditions to change quickly with any wind loading.
Weather Summary
Tonight: Cloudy. 60 percent chance of flurries overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 12. Wind chill minus 13 this evening and minus 18
Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries early in the morning then a mix of sun and cloud. Wind becoming west 20 km/h near noon. High minus 8. Wind chill near minus 17
Sunday: Flurries. High minus 6.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.
- Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.
- Wind slabs are isolated, but may remain reactive.
Avalanche Problems
Deep Persistent Slabs
This problem we believe is more specific to shallower areas of the snow pack. Avoiding thin areas will mitigate your exposure to this problem.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1.5 - 3
Loose Dry
Unconsolidated surface snow overlies a strong midpack. Expect the likelihood of loose dry avalanches to increase if the wind picks up, particularly out of steep terrain.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2