Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 7th, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mconlan, Avalanche Canada

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Snow that accumulated above 1200 m may remain reactive.

Summary

Confidence

High - Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy with no precipitation, 40 km/h west wind, treeline temperature -7 C.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 5 cm, 30 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperature -5 C.

SUNDAY: Early-morning snowfall then clear skies, accumulation 10 to 20 cm, 30 km/h south wind, treeline temperature 3 C, freezing level rising to 2300 m.

MONDAY: Cloudy with snow and rain, accumulation 10 to 20 cm above 1300 m and rain below, 40 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperature 0 C.

Avalanche Summary

It is anticipated that an avalanche cycle occurred on Thursday night, caused by rapid loading from rain and snow. Avalanche activity is expected to decrease into Saturday, although it may remain possible for humans to trigger slabs where Friday's precipitation fell as snow. At lower elevations, any snow that accumulates on Saturday may slide easily on the melt-freeze crust.

We'd appreciate any observations while you are out travelling on the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Rain soaked the snowpack below around 1200 m, which subsequently froze into a hard melt-freeze crust. Above 1200 m, new storm slabs formed from about 50 cm of snow from Thursday night. 

Around 100 to 150 cm deep, a thin and hard melt-freeze crust may sit above sugary faceted grains that formed during the cold spell in late December. Reports suggest that the snowpack may be bonding well to these previous surfaces.

The middle and base of the snowpack are strong, consisting of well-bonded snow and various hard melt-freeze crusts.

Terrain and Travel

  • The new snow may require another day to settle and stabilize.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

New storm slabs and wind slabs likely formed above around 1200 m on Thursday night, as 60 cm of snow accumulated with strong southerly wind. Storm slabs are most likely found in terrain sheltered from the wind. Wind slabs may be present near the mountain tops in steep, lee terrain features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 8th, 2022 4:00PM