Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 3rd, 2021 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Wind Slabs.
cgarritty,
Avalanche Canada
Be in initial assessment mode once the highway to White Pass reopens. Natural avalanche activity there has been extensive. If you're diverted to Wheaton Valley for another day, be mindful of its generally weaker snowpack structure and choose terrain accordingly.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.
Weather Forecast
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with scattered flurries bringing about 5 cm of new snow. Light to moderate southeast winds.
THURSDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Light variable winds. Alpine high temperatures around -11.
FRIDAY: A mix of sun and cloud. Moderate southwest winds. Alpine high temperatures around -12.Â
SATURDAY: A mix of sun and cloud. Light south winds. Alpine high temperatures around -11.Â
Avalanche Summary
Observations from the recent stormy period are still limited, due in part to a closure on the South Klondike Highway.
We have a report from the highways team that describes a widespread natural avalanche cycle on all west, south, and east aspects. Many avalanches ran full path, affecting the road in places not normally observed.
Since recreational traffic has been diverted elsewhere in the region, we have recent social media and MIN reports from the Wheaton Valley, like this one from Tuesday and another from Tally Ho on Monday that give a good idea of a reactive upper snowpack anywhere wind has been able to reach, even quite low elevations.
The description of 'Wheatonesque whumpfs' is a great clue to remind users that this area is very different from White Pass and usually hosts a much thinner, weaker snowpack structure than the Pass.
Snowpack Summary
4-day snowfall totals in the region are estimated to be around 50 cm. Strong to extreme southwest winds throughout the stormy period have been redistributing this snow into thicker, reactive wind slabs in leeward and crossloaded terrain features.
An estimated 100 or more cm of accumulated snow may now overlie a layer of surface hoar in sheltered areas, previously reported here and here. Given its new depth and the lack of recent avalanche activity attributed to it, this layer may prove to be a transient weakness that has since been overshadowed by new wind slab development.
The lower snowpack is strong around White Pass, but inland areas like the Wheaton Valley very likely have a thinner and weaker structure. This is especially notable while the South Klondike highway closure continues to divert users to inland areas.
Terrain and Travel
- Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
- Watch for areas of hard wind slab on alpine features.
- Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Expect to find potentially still reactive wind slabs to the lee of the wind (north through east slopes) and in crossloaded features if you're nearing exposed terrain. If there's still snow available for transport, elevated winds might refresh this problem on Friday, so keep it at the top of your mind. Watch for blowing snow!
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 5th, 2021 4:00PM
