Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 17th, 2015 3:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Good
Weather Forecast
We are expecting the large temperature differential to continue for the next few days. Freezing levels will rise to 1600m tomorrow with some intermittent sun expected. Winds will remain westerly and average 35km/hr at 2500m. Valley bottom winds will remain light. 2500m temps will be around -5 as a high. No snow is expected.
Avalanche Summary
Some small, loose dry avalanches from yesterday were noted today. No slab avalanches were seen.
Snowpack Summary
In the past 48hrs we've had spotty convective flurries that have left 3-12cm's of new snow. This new snow is very low density and easily blown around by the wind. We have yet to see any significant storm slab development. Below the new snow we have a rare February crust that formed during the last warm spell. This thin breakable crust is widespread up to 2050m, and on solar aspects it stretches up to the 2200m mark. So far it is insignificant as its only down 10cm's on average. Profiles today at treeline showed a much more settled and stronger snowpack that what we've seen lately. It seems the northern region of the forecast area has a stronger snowpack in general. The snow depth at the profile was 153cm, elevation was 2100m, and on a north aspect. Tests gave inconclusive results. One test had a moderate result and another 50m away had a hard result. In both cases the failure type was not very concerning. Of note was the moist layer on the ground. The depth hoar layer was 10cm thick and fairly well bonded for depth hoar. In the alpine, the winds were gusting to about 30km/hr. Expect the alpine snowpack to consist of laminated windslabs and a weak depth hoar bottom.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 18th, 2015 2:00PM