Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 13th, 2013–Feb 14th, 2013
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Northwest Coastal.

Confidence

Fair - Due to variable weather conditions

Weather Forecast

Thursday: Moderate snowfall / Strong to extreme southwest winds / Freezing level at 600mFriday: Moderate snowfall becoming heavy in the afternoon / Extreme southwest winds / Freezing level at 800mSaturday: Moderate snowfall / Moderate southwest winds / Freezing level at 500m

Avalanche Summary

A widespread avalanche cycle up to size 3 was reported in response to Tuesday's storm. The most activity appears to have been close to Terrace. Avalanche activity is expected to pick-up again with weather forecast for Thursday.

Snowpack Summary

A big dump of snow brought up to 80cm and an average of about 40cm new to the region on Tuesday. Strong winds have blown the new snow into wind slabs in exposed lee areas. The new snow sits on above previous wind slabs on shady slopes in the alpine and at treeline, and a rain/sun crust at lower elevations/solar aspects, respectively. Deeper buried crusts exist within the snowpack, but are reported to have bonded well. I imagine that after the most recent avalanche cycle, these will be difficult or near impossible to trigger, except with very big loads, such as a cornice fall. The mid and lower snowpack layers are generally well settled.With the current weather pattern, I would also suspect ongoing cornice development and recommend a cautious approach on or below ridgecrests..

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Rapid loading from recent snowfall has created touchy slab avalanche conditions, especially in areas exposed to wind. Forecast weather will add to ongoing storm slab instabilities.
The new snow may require several days to settle and stabilize.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4