Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 18th, 2015 8:00AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include New snow and strong winds have contributed to a developing wind slab.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Light snow today with strong westerly winds and freezing levels remaining below 1000m. Expect 8cm of new snow accumulation by late Friday evening.
Snowpack Summary
20-30cm of snow covers a supportive crust below 1600m. 80cm of settled snow covers the Dec 2 interface, which is surface hoar below tree-line and a sun crust on steep, solar features at treeline and alpine. In exposed areas, the depth is variable due to wind-scouring. This layer may still be reactive to skiers in certain areas.
Avalanche Summary
Sluffing and skier triggered size 1's from sidewalls of steep gully features have been reported in the alpine. Several size 1.5 point release avalanches were observed in the Connaught area, triggered from steep rocky terrain. A size 2.5 natural slab avalanche had a long thin run of 1500m from cliffs below Teddy Bear Ridge in to the basin.
Confidence
Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain
Problems
Wind Slabs
Watch for a developing wind slab in exposed areas as strong westerly winds transport recently fallen snow. Significant loading from wind transport can be expected in lee areas and may be easily triggered by riders.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
80cm of snow sits on top of the Dec 2 persistent weak layer, which is surface hoar at and below treeline and sun crust on solar aspects. Although this layer is becoming less reactive, it is still producing sudden results in stability tests.
Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.Avoid open slopes and convex rolls at treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 19th, 2015 8:00AM