Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 16th, 2013–Nov 17th, 2013
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: Little Yoho.

It is early season and many places do not have enough snow for good skiing. Snow is accumulating in gullies and lee features. Skiers and ice climbers should be aware of increased wind loading going on over the next two days. CJ

Weather Forecast

An additional 10-15cm is expected on Sunday with strong W winds in the alpine and cool temperatures. Monday and Tuesday remain cool with a few flurries and a mix of sun and cloud.

Snowpack Summary

20-40cm of storm slab sits over the previous surfaces at tree line and above. Previous moderate to strong W winds created soft and hard slabs on N and E aspects. Above 2400m the Oct 27 melt freeze crust exists near the base of the snowpack and continues to provide a good sliding layer. The base of the snowpack consists largely of facets.

Avalanche Summary

Several slabs have been observed in alpine areas over the past 36 hours up to size 2. At higher elevations these are running on either the Oct 27 melt freeze crust or at the storm snow interface. Cornices are growing and fragile and several natural and human triggered failures have been observed recently.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

With increasing winds and new snow you can expect sluffing and new wind slabs to start forming by Sunday afternoon. The previous wind slabs from Friday remain a concern and are still susceptible to human triggering.

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets. Be aware of wide variation in snowpack depth
  • Use caution in lee areas in the alpine. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Storm Slabs

In alpine areas the recent storm snow has begun to settle into a slab and sits over facets or the October 27 melt freeze crust. Several recent failures have been observed. Use caution in steeper terrain as the snowpack in general is quite weak.

  • The new snow will requires several days to settle and stabilize.
  • Assess start zones carefully and use safe travel techniques.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2