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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 27th, 2020–Mar 30th, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: North Rockies.

New snow and wind expected through the weekend will build reactive storm slabs. Snow amounts may vary throughout the region. If there is more than 20 cm of new now overnight Friday, danger may be higher than indicated. This is the last forecast for the season.

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations. Forecast precipitation (either snow or rain) amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY Night: Snow, accumulation 10-20 cm. Moderate to strong west wind. Alpine high around -10 C.

SATURDAY: Flurries, accumulation 5-15 cm. Moderate to strong southwest wind. Alpine high around -13 C.

SUNDAY: Flurries, accumulation 5-10 cm. Moderate to strong southwest wind. Alpine high around -13 C.

MONDAY: Mainly cloudy with sunny periods. Moderate southeast wind. Alpine high around -15. C.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported over the past couple of days. 

As snow accumulates and the wind blows moderate to strong through the weekend, expect to see an increase in storm and wind slab avalanche activity. 

Snowpack Summary

15-35 cm of recent new snow may now be sitting on top of a variety of old surfaces including hard wind affected snow, sun crust on slopes facing the sun and a melt freeze crust at lower elevations.

At lower elevations, two surface hoar layers 50-60 cm and 75-90 cm below the surface may still be present in the northern part of the region. The snowpack below is reported to be strong and well settled.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Storm snow and wind is forming touchy slabs. Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline.
  • Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Watch for increasingly sensitive storm and wind slabs at all elevations as new snow and wind arrive together.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2