Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 16th, 2018 3:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Alberta Parks mike.koppang, Alberta Parks

Dont be in big terrain that hasnt previously avalanched. Sheltered areas have good skiing but we need some snow for a good re-set.

Summary

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Forecasts are calling for 5-10cm of new snow over the next 24hrs with generally light NW winds.  Temperatures will be cool on Saturday and then FRIGID on Sunday!  Dress warm!

Avalanche Summary

Its hard to tell whats new and older as strong winds are filling in the fracture lines quickly.  Of note, the Tryst Gully (commonly used after leaving tryst) has recently slid sz 2.5 with debris 2-4m deep in places.  Some people had been using this gully as an approach earlier this winter and this avalanche is a sobering reminder of how much of a terrain trap this piece of terrain is.  Just because you have (or someone else has) gone one way before, doesn't mean its safe. 

Snowpack Summary

Light flurries throughout the day and overnight but only close to 5cm of accumulations.  Moderate westerly winds continued building on the windslabs that previously existed.  Alpine areas have extensive windslabs from the strong winds earlier in the week.  Its not uncommon to find a drummy feeling as you approach more open terrain.  At treeline the windslabs are more specific in nature such as along ridgelines and in gullies.  A few prominent weak layers still exist at the base of the snowpack.  The Dec 15th interface down 140cm and the January surface hoar layers down 100cm.  Test resulst are still in the hard rnage on these layers but they are highly variable.  Use caution in any areas that have not previously slid and minimize your exposure to overhead terrain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
The upper snowpack has several windslabs piled on top of each other.  These slabs are up to 50cm thick in alpine terrain.  Watch for failures in these slabs to step down to the deeper layers.
Be wary of slopes that did not previously avalanche.Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
The surface hoar is still intact in many treeline areas. It's depth varies, but a meter down is a good generalization. We are still treating this layer with caution and respect. Surface hoar is known for unexpected surprises. 
Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.Be wary of slopes that did not previously avalanche.Minimize exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach run out zones.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Feb 17th, 2018 2:00PM