Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 20th, 2017 3:36PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Loose Dry.

Alberta Parks jeremy.mackenzie, Alberta Parks

Recent strong winds with lots of new snow has heightened the avalanche hazard. This is a good time to avoid avalanche terrain.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Tuesday will be snowy with accumulations near 8cm. Winds will continue to be strong from the SW. Temperatures are expected to be mild for a couple of days with a high of -1 C tomorrow and then freezing levels rising to 2600m on Wednesday with rain/snow in the forecast.

Avalanche Summary

Naturally triggered slab avalanche activity up to size 2.5 has occurred in the past 24 hours. Most of these slides occurred on N and E aspects in alpine terrain, but in some areas the slides have run to the end of their run-outs at lower elevations. Loose dry avalanches up to size 2.0 have also been observed in steep Alpine terrain.

Snowpack Summary

An average of 30cm of new snow fell overnight at Treeline overnight. This snowfall was coupled with strong to extreme SW winds which has led to widespread wind slab formation in lee and cross-loaded features at Treeline and Alpine elevations. Most windward aspects have been stripped down to bare rock. Natural avalanche activity is ongoing (see avalanche activity discussion below) and conditions are ripe for human-triggering. The Halloween crust is now buried up to 80cm at 2400m and has shown signs of facetting. Recent snowpack tests show a failure immediately underneath the crust, that will be something to watch in the weeks to come.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Wind slabs are found on lee and cross-loaded features. Further slab development will occur through the night due to an intense storm that is moving through.
Avoid lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.Avoid freshly wind loaded features.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Nov 21st, 2017 2:00PM