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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 14th, 2014–Dec 15th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

Challenging ski conditions below treeline and a lingering storm slab in the alpine will require extra caution today.

Weather Forecast

A stationary high pressure system will block precipitation for the next several days, leaving us with colder temperatures and sunny periods. Winds are expected to remain light with freezing levels approaching 1000m.

Snowpack Summary

Cold temperatures have tightened up the surface snow forming a crust with moist snow underneath it to ~2100m. Above tree line there is up to ~25cm of recent storm storm snow. Recent snowpack tests produced resistant planar results within the top 50cm. November persistent weak layers are down 100 to 120cm, requiring large triggers to fail.

Avalanche Summary

Natural avalanche activity has decreased with the arrival of cold temperatures. No new avalanches were observed yesterday.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.