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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 6th, 2016–Feb 7th, 2016

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

A natural avalanche cycle is occurring today.  Minimize exposure to avalanche terrain.

Weather Forecast

The current storm should pass this morning however gusty moderate S-SW winds are forecast to continue into tomorrow.  Freezing levels up to 1000m today and up to 1200m tomorrow along with isolated flurries.

Snowpack Summary

The storm continues this morning with 30cm+ along with moderate to strong S-SW winds and warming temperatures. Fresh fragile windslabs have formed and a natural avalanche cycle is occurring as these slabs overload the weak old snow surface. Sluffing of loose snow can be expected in steep terrain. The Jan 4 interface down 70-110cm remains a concern.

Avalanche Summary

Yesterday afternoon a natural avalanche cycle began with slides up to size 3 observed.  The natural avalanche cycle continues today with overloading of the old snow interface from precipitation and S-SW wind loading.  Highway avalanche control is currently in progress.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.