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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 2nd, 2019–Jan 3rd, 2019

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Widespread avalanches certain.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Little Yoho.

A major storm is starting Wednesday night. It is a good time to ski at the resorts and stay out of avalanche terrain.

Weather Forecast

A major system is heading for the forecast region starting tonight. The models have varying data but upwards of 40cm is expected throughout Thursday and Friday. The system is accompanied by warm temperatures and moderate to strong westerly winds = a perfect recipe for avalanches!

Snowpack Summary

Wind effect exists in the alpine and at treeline. Below treeline, the surface is faceted powder. This overlies the Dec. 10th layer of facets and depth hoar which is down 60-100 cm. In thin snowpack areas, the Dec. 10th layer is mixed in with the basal facets and October crust. In thicker areas, it is a distinct layer, with a stronger snowpack below

Avalanche Summary

Two skiier accidentals and a skiier remote avalanche were reported by the public in the Banff, Yoho & Kootenay forecast region yesterday. They were all size 1.5-2 and all failed in thin snowpack areas. Two were in the alpine and one was below treeline in a steep gully feature. Avalanche control on Mt Field today produced avalanches up to size 3

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.