Avalanche forecast

Ogden

Issued Mar 19, 2021valid to Mar 20, 2021Utah Avalanche Center

Avalanche danger

Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline

Out of date — this forecast expired 5 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

The avalanche danger is Low this morning but will rise to Moderate as the snowpack warms due to today's strong sun and warm temperatures. Avalanches involving wet snow are possible on all aspects at the mid and upper elevations, as well as low-elevation northerly slopes. Small wind drifts along upper elevation ridges as well as mid and upper northerly aspects may also be encountered.

The Spring season typically delivers the most rapid changes in weather and avalanche conditions can change quickly. Watch for any sudden changes in the snowpack, such as if it becomes wet and unsupportable or you find sensitive wind drifts.

Avalanche problems

Loose Wet
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Likely
Size
2
Although the snowpack has adjusted to the recent warmup, very warm temperatures overnight mean no overnight refreeze, and avalanches involving wet snow are possible today. This includes wet-loose avalanches, but also the possibility for wet slabs where meltwater percolates down to weaker snow in the snowpack. Toby Weed's observation from Wednesday highlights where wet slabs may be more likely: mid and upper elevation northerly aspects where there dry faceted snow down near the ground. It's time to move off of a steep slope once the snow becomes wet and unsupportable.

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Recent Activity

The only avalanche activity reported from Thursday was minor wet loose avalanching during the afternoon. Two excellent observations received this week include:

Toby Weed in the Snowbasin backcountry (3/17)

Brian Smith on Chili Peak (3/17)

Snow and Weather

Currently: Skies are clear and it's a very warm morning, with the coldest weather station a 32° F. atop Mount Ogden, with all other stations reporting in the mid 30's to 40° F. Winds are from the south and gusty. At mid-elevations winds are averaging in the teens and 20's with gusts in the 30's mph. Atop Mount Ogden, winds are averaging in the 30's with gusts in the 40's mph.

Today: Clear skies and temperatures warming into the 30's and 40's F. The south/southwest winds will remain moderate with stronger gusts. At the mid-elevations, winds will average in the teens and 20's, gusting into the 30's mph. Along the uppermost ridges, winds will average in the 30's with gusts near 50 mph.

Overnight and Saturday: Stronger winds from the south/southwest ahead of a cold front which should enter the Wasatch early Saturday morning. We are expecting decent water amounts (about 0.5") with snow totals by later Saturday of 6-8". Additional snow on Sunday. Further ahead, the first full week of Spring looks perfect - cold and unsettled.

General Announcements

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This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

Observations and Avalanches

Backcountry Emergency Procedures