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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 13th, 2014–Apr 14th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Monday

Weather Forecast

Monday: Clear skies in the morning with increased cloud and light precipitation possible late in the day / Moderate southwest winds / Freezing level at about 1700mTuesday: Light to locally moderate snowfall / Moderate southwest winds becoming light and northerly / Freezing level at 1000mWednesday: Mix of sun and cloud / Light northerly winds / Freezing level at 1300m

Avalanche Summary

At the time of publishing no new avalanches were reported, although I suspect natural loose wet and slab activity may have occurred with Sunday's warm temperatures.

Snowpack Summary

Last week up to 30 cm of snow fell at upper elevations. At lower elevations rain saturated the snowpack and melt-freeze conditions exist up to 1200 m on all aspects. At higher elevations the new snow overlies a rain crust which exists to about 2000m. Strong SW winds have built thick wind slabs on leeward aspects and recent test results indicate touchy conditions still exist. Cornices are also large and becoming weak with daytime warming.The early February crust/facet layer is down 150 - 200 cm. This destructive layer should remain on your radar, and could become reactive with solar radiation and high freezing levels.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.