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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 15th, 2011–Nov 16th, 2011

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Coastal.

This bulletin is based on limited data. Local variation in conditions and danger levels are likely to exist. To produce more accurate forecasts, we need information. Please send an email to [email protected].

Confidence

Poor - Due to limited field observationsfor the entire period

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: 20-30cm of new snow with freezing levels around 800m and strong southerly winds.Thursday: Another 5-10cm of new snow expected with freezing levels dropping to valley bottoms and light to moderate southwest winds.Friday: Relatively clear, dry and calm weather is expected.

Avalanche Summary

Recent reports include natural slab avalanches up to 60cm thick triggered by heavy loading during storms. The possibility for natural and human-triggered wind and storm slabs is expected to remain for the forecast period.

Snowpack Summary

Total snowpack depth is around180 cm for most treeline areas and over 2 metres in the alpine. Whumpfing, cracking, and easy shears were found within and under the 40-50cm of recent storm snow. The mid and lower snowpack is generally well settled and strong, with an old rain crust near the ground.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.