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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 17th, 2018–Jan 18th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Wind and snow are in the forecast. The hazard levels assume we will get the forecasted weather.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Thursday

Weather Forecast

The good news: Up to 10cm expected tonight, with another 9cm throughout the day tomorrow. The bad news: Strong winds overnight. Average ridge winds will be 60km/hr with gusts even higher.The rest: Overnight low of -5. Daytime high tomorrow of -4

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new today.

Snowpack Summary

Alpine winds have now created firm windslabs on Northeast to South aspects. They tend to be more pronounced in the northern part of the region. At treeline, the windslabs are widespread and are reaching far below ridge crests. The warmer temperatures have also contributed to settlement within the snowpack. The depth of buried weak layers will likely have changed significantly with the redistribution of snow.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.