Avalanche forecast

Moab

Utah Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

  • Alpine
  • Treeline
  • Below treeline
Out of date — this forecast expired 7 months ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

A MODERATE avalanche danger exists on steep slopes above treeline that face NW-N-NE-E. In these areas, hard slabs of wind drifted snow over ride layers of weak, sugary, faceted snow and human triggered avalanches 1-2 feet deep are possible. Avoid steep terrain with stiff, hard slabs that sound or feel hollow underneath.

On these same aspects near treeline and below, shallow dry loose avalanches involving weak, faceted snow are possible to likely. Though not large enough to bury you, they could take you for a ride and carry you into trees or over a cliff. Manage terrain carefully.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2

    Human-triggered avalanches failing on persistent weak layers continue to be a concern on northerly aspects above treeline, where old, hard slabs of wind-drifted snow rest on weak, faceted snow. The primary layer of concern is a faceted layer that formed near the snow surface before the January 23rd storm. Multiple periods of strong winds have since built stiff slabs on top of this weakness, and human-triggered avalanches 1–2 feet deep remain possible. While less likely, avalanches failing on this layer could step down into deeper weak layers in the snowpack, producing a much larger and more dangerous slide.

    Given these conditions, upper-elevation, wind-loaded terrain continues to warrant caution. Avoid steep slopes just below ridgelines where smooth, hard slabs of wind-drifted snow are present, especially if the snow feels hollow or sounds drum-like underfoot.

Special Announcement

Check out this recent blog post from Forest Service UAC Director Paige Pagnucco Weak Snow: Today's Surface, Tomorrow's Avalanche Problem.

Geyser Pass Road Conditions: The road is down to the dirt down low while sections of packed snow and ice remain above. AWD with good tires recommended.

Grooming: LUNA groomed all trails on Monday.

We are looking to reschedule our Moab Backcountry 101 Class to February 20, 21 in the hopes that we will have more snow. Click here for information and registration. Moab and Monticello locals can use the discount code MOAB-LOCAL for a 10% discount.

Recent Activity

No recent avalanches have been reported.

Snow and Weather

24 Hour Snow: 0" 72 Hour Snow: 0" Season Total Snow: 44" Depth at Gold Basin: 27"

Winds on Pre-Laurel Peak: NNW 10-15 G 20 Temp: 21°F

Weather

Under clear skies, it is 21° F in Gold Basin this morning. High temperatures will be in the upper 30s° F at 10,000 feet. Skies will be clear, and winds will be light, blowing from the north-northeast. Mostly dry and unseasonably warm conditions persist through the weekend, with temperatures 10-15 degrees above normal. A pattern shift is possible early next week.

General Conditions

It is getting more difficult to find good skiing and riding. Our last storm dropped 8-10 inches of snow on January 23rd. Since then, exposed windward slopes have been scoured by strong west and northwest winds. Hard slabs of previously drifted snow are widespread above treeline on leeward aspects. South-facing slopes are showing many bare spots or are crusted over where they do hold snow.

The best skiing and riding is found on sheltered, shady aspects. On these slopes, slab distribution is isolated, and the snowpack is weak and faceted top to bottom. This makes for fun turning in “recycled” or “loud” powder. This very weak surface snow is prone to sluffing in steep, continuous terrain. Dry, loose avalanches will become more likely and grow larger in size as long as our high-and-dry weather persists.

Skier triggered dry, loose avalanche in steep terrain.

See recent observations here.

Snowpack and Weather Data

NEW! Gold Basin webcam storm stake

Gold Basin Storm Stake (10,000')

Gold Basin SNOTEL site (10,000')

SNOTEL site near Geyser Pass Winter Trailhead (9600')

Wind Station on Pre-Laurel Peak (11,400')

NWS forecast for the La Sal Mountains.

General Announcements

This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

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