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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 15th, 2025–Jan 16th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast Inland, Birkenhead, Duffey, South Chilcotin, Stein, Taseko.

Watch for hard wind slabs in exposed alpine areas. Start with small features before moving into bigger terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday, several, size 1 and size 2 loose wet and glide slab avalanches were reported triggered by warm temperatures and solar input. As temperatures cool Wednesday night avalanche activity is expected to subside.

On Tuesday, a size 1.5 skier-triggered wind slab avalanche was reported on a north aspect at 1900 m. The wind slab released on a weak layer of surface hoar found below.

Snowpack Summary

At 2200 m and below, the moist snow surface is refreezing into a thick crust. In the alpine and exposed treeline, this crust overlies old wind slabs and wind-affected surfaces. On sheltered northerly aspects in the alpine, dry snow may exist.

10 to 30 cm down is a small weak layer of surface hoar or facets. This layer remains a concern in isolated areas where a wind slab overlies it.

A crust is buried 60 to 100 cm deep and may have a layer of surface hoar sitting above it. Recent tests show this layer as unreactive.

The remainder of the mid and lower snowpack is well-settled.

Snow depths at treeline are roughly 100 to 150 cm.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Increasing cloud. 35 to 45 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing levels drop to 1000 m.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy with light flurries, 1 cm. 10 to 25 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing levels drop to the valley bottom.

Friday

Mainly sunny. 10 to 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C.

Saturday

Partly cloudy. 5 to 10 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Wind slabs are isolated, but may remain reactive.
  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
  • A hard crust on the snow surface will help strengthen the snowpack, but may cause tough travel conditions.
  • If you are increasing your exposure to avalanche terrain, do it gradually as you gather information.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.