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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 21st, 2025–Mar 22nd, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper, Brazeau, Churchill, Cirrus-Wilson, Fryatt, Icefields, Maligne, Marmot, Miette Lake, Pyramid.

Natural avalanche activity is still being observed and human triggering of avalanches remains likely. Make conservative terrain choices by sticking to low angle terrain well away from steeper slopes.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

There has been a widespread natural avalanche cycle over the last 1-2 weeks that is expected to continue.

Five natural avalanches, size 1.5 to 2, were observed March 19-20, mostly at tree line and below. There have been a number of other natural avalanches, as well as skier remotes, in the Banff forecast region.

Marmot Basin Ski Hill has seen significant results from recent explosive control work, including deep persistent slab avalanches from size 2 to 3.5 (March 18/19).

Weather Summary

Friday evening: Clear periods. Alpine temp low of -14 °C. Ridge wind west: 10-30 km/h.Saturday: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries, trace of snow. Alpine temperature: High -8 °C. Ridge wind west: 15-30 km/h.

Sunday: Cloudy with scattered flurries. Accumulation: 4 cm. Alpine temperature: Low -11 °C, High -6 °C. Ridge wind southwest: 15 km/h gusting to 40 km/h.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
  • Fresh snow rests on a problematic persistent slab, don't let good riding lure you into complacency.
  • Remote triggering is a concern; avoid terrain where triggering overhead slopes is possible.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.