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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 16th, 2022–Feb 17th, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Vancouver Island.

A thick and supportive crust at all elevations means that avalanche activity is unlikely.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Wednesday night: Above freezing layer at treeline. No new snow expected. Light to moderate northwest winds. 

Thursday: Cloudy with the possibility of light flurries bringing trace amounts of snow at higher elevations. Light west winds and an above freezing layer at treeline. 

Friday: light flurries bringing trace amounts of snow to higher elevations. Light west winds with freezing levels around 1200m.

Saturday: stormy with up to 10cm of snow. High of -2 at 1200m. Moderate west winds.

Avalanche Summary

A thick and supportive crust that currently caps the snowpack means avalanche activity is unlikely. It might be possible to find thin and generally inconsequential wind slabs in the alpine.

Snowpack Summary

A dusting of new snow at higher elevations buries a widespread surface crust which exists on all aspects and at all elevations. Below the crust, 10-60 cm well settled snow and old crust layers sit above the thick late-January crust which extends to mountain top elevations on all aspects. The mid and lower snowpack is considered well settled and strong. 

Shallow snow cover at low elevations leaves many hazards like stumps and creeks exposed at or just below the snow surface.

Terrain and Travel

  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.