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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 5th, 2023–Feb 6th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Banff Yoho Kootenay, Little Yoho, Banff, East Side 93N, Kootenay, Lake Louise, LLSA, Sunshine, West Side 93N, Field.

Watch your exposure to overhead hazards, forecasted strong winds Monday will continue to transport snow at upper elevations.

The avalanche danger will increase by Tuesday, with 30cm of snow expected for the region.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

1 size 2 natural avalanche was reported from steep alpine terrain in the backcountry near the Sunshine ski hill. Local ski hills targeted cornices with explosives, producing avalanche results to size 2.

Snowpack Summary

10 cm of new snow over the weekend. Continuous moderate to strong west winds have formed new wind slabs which overlay extensive wind effect at alpine and treeline elevations. The upper snowpack has several crusts and weak interfaces from January down 15-50 cm. The Nov 16 deep persistent facet layer is down 40-110 cm and continues to produce sudden test results. The mid and lower pack is weak in eastern regions and more supportive in western areas and along the divide.

Weather Summary

A cold front will pass over the forecast region Sunday evening depositing 1-3cm of snow. Strong Westerly wind values are forecasted for Monday. Value temperatures will stay below freezing for the start of the week. By Tuesday another pulse of snow could deposit an additional 30cm of snow.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm snow and wind is forming touchy slabs. Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline.
  • In times of uncertainty conservative terrain choices are our best defense.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.