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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 15th, 2021–Mar 16th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

North Columbia.

We are entering a classic diurnal cycle in the next couple of days with a good refreeze at night and daytime warming. Cornices might weaken with sun-exposure and during the heat of the day.

Confidence

High - We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast

Weather Forecast

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear with some clouds, calm wind, alpine low -16 C, freezing level at valley bottom. 

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny, 10 km/h southwest wind, alpine high 0 C, freezing level 1500 m.

WEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, 20 km/h southeast wind, alpine high 2 C, freezing level 1900 m. 

THURSDAY: Increasing cloud coverage, trace of new snow, 30 km/h southeast wind, alpine high 2 C, freezing level 2000 m.

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday, several loose wet avalanches of size 1 to 2 were reported from steep solar aspects. 

Numerous natural wet loose avalanches up to size 2.5 were observed on solar aspects on Saturday. A few small wet slab avalanches were reported as well as a couple cornice failures of size 2 which did not trigger avalanches on the slopes below.

Naturally triggered wet loose avalanches were reported up to size 2 on solar aspects in the alpine on Friday. 

Snowpack Summary

Sunny skies and warm temperatures formed sun crusts on solar aspects at all elevations and up to 2000 m on polar aspects. Dry snow still exists on north aspects at upper elevations. Large cornices loom over alpine ridgetops.

Persistent weak layers of surface hoar, crusts, and/or facets 80-120 cm down have recently been unreactive and no recent avalanches have been reported on these layers. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Cornices become weak with daytime heating or solar exposure.
  • Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where even small avalanches may have severe consequences.
  • Watch for wind-loaded pockets especially around ridgecrest and in extreme terrain.
  • Rocks will heat up with daytime warming and may become trigger points for loose wet avalanches