At this point snowfall amounts could be up to 35cm. It looks the exact path of the up slope could drift either way. Stay tuned, and be prepared for the hazard to rise accordingly.
Confidence
Fair - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain
Weather Forecast
Snow, heavy at times for tomorrow. Forecasts vary, but we can hopefully expect anywhere from 25-35cm's. The really good news is that freezing levels will drop before the storm arrive. Valley bottom tonight, and 1800m tomorrow. The winds will be enough to form storm slabs. Mostly light winds are expected, but gusts will reach into the moderate range. The direction will be variable pre-storm, but settle down to an easterly flow by late afternoon. Alpine temps will hopefully reach -3.
Avalanche Summary
Nothing new today
Snowpack Summary
Up to 2200m the snowpack has recovered from the extended thaw last week. Crusts are prevalent all the way up to the alpine right now. The alpine region reportedly has some good skiing in sheltered north aspects. Windslabs are present in specific areas 2400m and above.
Problems
Loose Dry
Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.
Storm Slabs
Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
Deep Persistent Slabs
Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.