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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 5th, 2017–Mar 6th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Careful route selection is advised now that the storm has ended.  Minimizing overhead hazard is recommended.  Good skiing can be found in sheltered and non-exposed areas.

Confidence

-

Weather Forecast

Weather forecast for Monday is showing isolated flurries, -13C and ridge winds of 30-40km/h.  The remainder of the week is indicating flurries and cold temperatures.

Avalanche Summary

Several avalanches have occurred during this last storm up to size 3 and are difficult to notice as they have been covered by new snow.  Avalanche control is planned for Mt. Rundle on March 6, 2017.  Expect road closure from 1-5pm.

Snowpack Summary

The storm has ended and dropped up to 60cm of snow in the alpine.  Wind was associated with this storm creating storm slabs at ridge lines and lee features.  Cornices have grown with this last storm and have the potential to wake up deeper layers if they break off.  Sheltered and non-exposed areas are providing good skiing.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.