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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 11th, 2020–Mar 13th, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: Yukon.

Recent new snow has been redistributed by light to moderate south then strong north winds. The new snow is now obscuring previous widespread wind effect. Wind slabs continue to be the main concern.

Confidence

High - Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern; little change is expected for several days.

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY Night: Mainly clear. Light to moderate north wind. Alpine temperature around -21. 

THURSDAY: Sunny. Light to moderate north wind. Alpine temperature around -19.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Moderate to strong north wind. Alpine temperature around -13.

SATURDAY: Mainly sunny. Light northwest wind. Alpine temperature around -5.

Avalanche Summary

There are no new reports of avalanche activity over the past few days.

Snowpack Summary

Tuesday night saw about 10-15 cm of new snow combined with another 5-15 cm of new snow that fell on Monday and has been redistributed by light southerly winds switching to strong from the north. Expect to see widespread wind effect from the latest north winds. This snow now obscures widespread wind effect from last week's extreme wind event. There may be lingering and buried wind slabs in areas we traditionally think of as sheltered.

At White Pass the snowpack is roughly 200 cm thick with a strong mid and lower snowpack. Thin snowpack areas further inland may have a shallower snowpack composed of sugary faceted grains. Lower elevations may have a melt freeze crust near the surface.

Terrain and Travel

  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features, especially near ridge crests, roll-overs and in steep terrain.
  • Watch for areas of hard wind slab on alpine features.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New snow from Monday and Tuesday night combined with south switching to north winds has promoted new wind slab formation in the lee of terrain features. This new snow is obscuring wind slabs that formed on all aspects and elevations during a wind event late last week.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2